Lancet Public Health journal, analysed the projected health needs of the elderly in England between 2015 and 2035. It found that the number of 65-year-olds and over needing round-the-clock care is also set to rise by a third. The government says adult social care reforms will be set out in the autumn.
Tax over-40s for old age care, say MPs The modelling study, carried out by Newcastle University and the London School of Economics and Political Science, highlighted the fact that the fastest growing demographic in the UK is elderly people over 85, whose numbers are projected to more than double by 2035, increasing by 1.5 million. Many of these elderly will develop multiple long-term health conditions, such as dementia and diabetes, leading to increasingly complex care needs. The number of over-85s requiring help throughout the day with tasks such as dressing, bathing and going to the toilet is estimated to almost double to 446,000 by 2035. By the same time, the experts predict that a million over-65s will need similar 24-hour care. Prof Carol Jagger, from the Newcastle University Institute for Ageing and senior author of the study, said the number of unpaid carers is in decline. She warned that relying on unpaid family carers was not sustainable and said: "The challenge is considerable. "Our study suggests that older spouse carers are increasingly likely to be living with disabilities themselves. "On top of that, extending the retirement age of the UK population is likely to further reduce the informal carer pool, who have traditionally provided for older family members."